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Monday, October 16, 2006

Disaster For The Democrats

The Democrats may have already faced their 2008 presidential disaster this past week. The withdraw of Mark Warner from the race before it's even begun has all but ensured Hillary Clinton to be the party's nominee in 2008.

Yes, I know John Kerry, John Edwards, and maybe even Al Gore will toss their hats into the ring sometime around July of 2007, but the truth is Hillary will get the nomination, very possibly assuring the GOP another term in the White House.

Sebastian Mallaby of the Washington Post notes that Evan Bayh of Indiana might toss his hat in the ring as the "centrist candidate", but provides ample evidence he's not as centrist as he'd like us to believe. Bayh also comes from a fairly small state, and has little national name recognition to use for traction in a campaign.

With a plethora of left leaning candidates poised to take over the House; and possibly the Senate; for the Democrats next month plenty of evidence of what a fully left leaning national leadership would look like will be available by the time the 2008 campaign gets underway. That won't bode well for someone like Clinton, or any of the others I mentioned above.

The right is angry John McCain is their leading candidate for 2008, and continue to offer up ideas on who should be the standard bearer. To them McCain is too much of a sell out to the left with many of his votes. But they obviously haven't done much research on two of the guys they're pushing in his stead, George Pataki and Rudy Guiliani, who both have more liberal records working in New York than McCain does in the Senate.

Any of the three can beat Clinton in 2008, if the GOP gets behind a front runner early, instead of having a hate fest over supposed liberal leaning transgressions throughout the primary season. The fact is any of them can siphon more centrist votes from the Democratic side of the aisle than any of the possible Democratic candidates can from the GOP.

Warner being in the race was good for whoever became the Democrats nominee, because during the primaries he would have force all four of the more liberal candidates to take more positions in the center during the primaries. Now we'll see four people shooting it out to win the base voters of the party, and all but assuring they won't get elected during the general election.

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6Comments:

Blogger David M said...

What about Mitt Romney?

8:09 AM  
Blogger benny06 said...

Recent poll here of Republican contenders: http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm/fuseaction/viewItem/itemID/13421

Personally, I think Romney would be a very formidable candidate because he would be the first Republican from Massachusetts to run. Hotline folks on C-SPAN reported this morning that Tommy Thompson is considering a run as well. If any of the nominees really want to strengthen the ticket, they would add Bill Owens as their VP choice.

I agree with Bob that Hillary cannot beat any of them. Case in point: the Iowans aren't that crazy about her either, despite her spouse speaking at the JJ Dinner over the weekend. Where we disagree is I don't think she will run unless the Iowa polls are in her favor. Moreover, as the Hotline pointed out, they have not elected a woman for governor, congressman, or senator.

11:43 AM  
Blogger Gayle said...

I pray to God that Hillary can't beat any of them. I don't want to have to leave the country! Where would I go? :(

2:21 PM  
Blogger Crazy Politico said...

Guys, I guess I did forget Mitt. I guess taking one of those online polls that excluded him clouded me while writing.

While Mitt could be considered a "carpet bagger"; because I believe he's originally from Michigan; in a race against Hillary it would be a moot point.

Gayle, there would be no reason to leave. Just be like Alec Baldwin, make a stink about the idea you will leave, then stick around :)

4:36 PM  
Blogger shoprat said...

Hillary will win the nomination because anyone could beat her and tries would probably wind up like Vince Foster.

8:03 PM  
Blogger Crazy Politico said...

Ed: ROFL!

8:15 PM  

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