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Tuesday, September 26, 2006

Context is Everything

Thanks, Washington Post, for a link to the whole declassified document from the National Intelligence Estimate. By posting that link, you make it easier to look through it, and your sensationalized headlines. Once againg proving that context is everything, you made available the information to rip apart your own skewed editorials.

While the Post, and others have great headlines about how the war in Iraq is fueling terrorism, the NIE judgments finish the story.

For instance, we've all stuff like this since Sunday:

The Iraq conflict has become the "cause celebre" for jihadists, in fact that's a headline Yahoo, the AP and others have used.

Except that if you read the rest of the paragraph (Thanks Charlie):

The Iraq conflict has become the "cause celebre" for jihadists, breeding a deep resentment of US involvement in the Muslim world and cultivating supporters for
the global jihadist movement. Should jihadists leaving Iraq perceive themselves, and be perceived, to have failed, we judge fewer fighters will be inspired to carry on the fight.
That tosses a completely different light on the headline doesn't it. In fact, that paragraph basically kills the idea of cutting and running as the solution. Finishing the fight seems to be the answer the NIE came up with.

Another example:

"..The Iraq jihad is shaping a new generation of terrorist leaders and operatives";

This sentence has been the cry of the left since the leak came out in the NY Times (surprise) on Sunday.

Except, once again, an entire paragraph instead of a sentence out of context brings more of the true assessment to light:

We assess that the Iraq jihad is shaping a new generation of terrorist leaders and operatives; perceived jihadist success there would inspire more fighters to continue the struggle elsewhere.

Again, pointing out that if the Jihadists win in Iraq, they will be emboldened, not that leaving them alone there is going to make the resentment go away.

Another interesting line from the NIE judgments:

Greater pluralism and more responsive political systems in Muslim majority nations would alleviate some of the grievances jihadists exploit. Over time, such progress, together with sustained, multifaceted programs targeting the vulnerabilities of the jihadist movement and continued pressure on al-Qaida,could erode support for the jihadists

Isn't this what George Bush has been pushing for the last 5 years? Stable, representative governments in the Muslim world? Notice no one on the left is screaming about that paragraph, or even mentioning it.

A few folks have also advocated releasing the entire NIE assessment. The Opinion Journal editors think it would be great for two reasons. One, it would put whole leaks into light, instead of the selective, out of context sentences we've been reading. The other is that we'd get to see just how worthless the entire document is. That's what happens when you have 16 organizations try and come up with aconsensuss document.

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Blogger Justin Hart said...

Great post.

The doc itself was a bit confusing to follow.

See this interactive categorization of the NIE Doc:

10:54 PM  
Blogger Hawkeyi's Blog said...

Hi , This is my reaction to the story in question from my blog....Iraq War Fuels Terror, My first reaction...

NEWS ITEM: BBC Iraq war fuels terror - US report
Excuse me if I find this funny Mr. George Bush. My first reaction to this classified leak story was here they go again, as I dropped to the floor rolling in laughter and sad tears, The Bush administration lets a leak out and now Bush says I'll need to tell Americans the rest of this sad scenario. "This illegal Iraq war we are fighting my fellow Americans is creating a celebre' for jihadists" (What the hell did he say... a cel what? Excuse my ignorance I thought he was talking about some kind of new Mexican Salsa at first. Wait a minute...Do I see a mountains of draft cards coming in the mail? Grab your poor black and hispanic son's n daughters, and come to Canada, Becoming a Canadian is not so bad, much better been sent to the front lines fighting Iranians Koreans and Venezuelans. The rich American mostly white Elite won't have to worry as they'll be your back-up in there nice shiny tanks and office jobs back home.

My first reaction to the 'cause celebre' for jihadists is Bush is on a holy mission to inspire Americans to support his false war on terrorism (yawn). Understandable how this comes at a time when his support is spinning out of control and his Republicans are loosing ground against those dam lefty democrats . Excuse me for a minute, I need to clear my throat "Liar liar pants on fire Mr Bush", and "LIAR LIAR Capitalistic Conservative media" Ahem , cough , there thats better now... Look Mr Bush, What has happened on American soil since 911, nothing right, thanks to the great Americans who are protecting the country. Your going to loose this war on terrorism once more folks realize your creating it. I think its too late to create a WAG THE DOG type terror attack on America to get your ratings back up. Yeah I think 9/11 is beginning to look like an inside job, (what you have not read my entire blog? just like the growing number of Americans and most of the world we all are starting to see through your agenda and corrupt lies. Hows that saying of yours go , you can fool some of the people um er some people some er um, never mind. You can still really save face George and your Republican party from going down in November, You can start by stopping this insane war in the Middle East and begin to seek real diplomacy with your Enemies. Start by admitting you were wrong to kill innocent people and pay to have there homes and infrastructure re-built with money from your rich pals who profited from this Illegal war. Then get on to the real threats to Americans and humanity such as the threats of global warming, Aids, Hunger and homelessness. Boy I'd support you if you did this. Good luck Mr. President and God save us from the Imperialists

5:49 AM  
Blogger Praguetwin said...

Question: If the whole document is worthless, why try to use it to support your (lost) cause?

5:18 PM  
Blogger Crazy Politico said...

Scrub, I think you might need to click the link on the sidebar "Think the War On Terror Started on 9/11". Bush's "false war" has been going on for decades. He's just the first president to take more than a passing interest in doing something about it.

As for Aid, use rubbers, Global Warming, get China, Brazil, and India included in Kyoto and maybe it would be worthwhile; though every country that has adapted it has already said they can't meet the goals and not kill their economy. Hunger? Get the third world thugs to quit stealing food that is given for their people. A million North Koreans died while we were supplying enough food to feed them. Though the Army was well fed an none of them were reported to have died.

Prague, as I mentioned "others" advocated, and claimed it was worthless. I may not have been totally clear on that last paragraph, I did write it after a 12 hour work day. I do believe though that concensus from 16 groups is tough to get.

As for the cause being "lost" I'd say the declassified portion throws more holes into the Murtha stance than Bush's.

8:07 PM  
Blogger asacan said...

LOL!! SCRUB, which sounds like a very accurate nick, is a typical kook fringe Democrat. They're all just yelling and screaming that everything that they've attempted to do in this election cycle is unravelling. The more it unravels, the more they scream and rant, all compounding the problems. The American people (and others around the world) can't miss their emotional outbursts, and say, "Wow! These people really ARE nuts!" Then they wonder why they can't take over the country.

Leave it to the kook fringe "mainstream media" (that people are realizing every day is nowhere close to "mainstream") to goof it all up again, jumping at all sorts of conclusions based on a small amount of information.

I understand people think the Bush administration "leaked" the previous information, but would the "press" have jumped with two feet had his administration leaked it (as scrub claims). Besides, the President can not "leak" anything, he de-classifies and releases. The truth is, that there are people in government who don't give a rat's ass about national security and is leaking classified information like a sieve. If I "leaked" classified information, I would be standing in front of a courts-martial, be sent to jail for a long time, lose my retirement, and be branded for life, if I ever got out of Federal Prison.

10:28 AM  
Blogger Manish said...

Uw online verzekeringsmakelaarEerst Europa Doelstellingen: De Ci2i Verzekering (Ci2i) zal
het nummer een gebrandmerkte pan Europese commoditized online verzekeringsmakelaar door 2010 zijn.

2:37 AM  

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